- Allianz Global Corporate & Specialty (AGCS) publishes the 12th annual survey of the world's top business risks, in which more than 2,700 global respondents participated.
- Natural disasters and climate change fall in the rankings as companies become more concerned about high inflation, a possible recession and the energy crisis.
- The pandemic is no longer among the top 10 risks
- Germany: Like worldwide, business interruption, cyber incidents and the energy crisis are at the top of the risk ranking
Allianz Risk Barometer 2023 [ES]
Allianz Risk Barometer 2023 Executive Summary [ES]
Results Allianz Risk Barometer 2023 APPENDIX
Allianz Risk Barometer | GATS
IsAllianz Risk Barometer 2023means continuity and change:cyber incidentsjbusiness interruptionswere ranked among the top business risks globally for the second year running (both with 34% of responses). They follow him in 3rd placemacroeconomic developmentslike inflation and a looming recession (10th place last year) and theenergy crisisas a new addition to number 4 of the top climbers in this year's list of global corporate risks, which is published annually by the industrial insurer Allianz Global Corporate & Specialty.
With regard to Germany, the same risks dominate as worldwide, sometimes in a different order: here arebusiness interruption,cyber incidents, and theenergy crisisin the first three places. HePandemic(from 4th to 13th place) appears to have been overtaken by the availability of vaccines and the lifting of Covid restrictions and is no longer among the top ten threats, either globally or in Germany.
As well asnatural disasters(from 3rd to 6th place) as well as the risks ofclimate change(from 6th place to 7th place) have fallen back in the ranking.Political risks and violencepeaked at number 10 during theskills shortageadvance to 8th place.
changes in legislation and regulationstill a relevant risk in 5th place,fire explosioninstead it drops two positions to 9th place.
This video will load in a YouTube player. Google collects information about your use of the content provided and uses it for analysis and marketing purposes. Please accept cookies to view this video.
Joachim Müller, CEO of AGCS, comments on the results: “The Allianz risk barometer shows for the second year in a row that companies today are exposed to an increased risk of cyber incidents and business interruption. At the same time, they see high inflation, a looming recession and the energy crisis as imminent threats to their business. Businesses, particularly in Europe and the US, are concerned about the ongoing "permacrisis" arising from the fallout from the pandemic and the economic and political fallout from the ongoing war in Ukraine. The current situation is a stress test for all companies.”
Müller continued: “The positive news is that as an insurer, we are seeing continuous improvements in terms of resilience and risk management for many of our customers. Many companies have made their supply chains more resilient and resilient to business disruptions and strengthened their cyber controls. Being more resilient and managing risk better has been a key task for many companies in recent years.”
In 2023, the four biggest risks are theAllianz risk barometerBroadly the same across all company sizes (large, medium and small) and in Central Europe and the US (with the exception of the energy crisis). Risk priorities for companies in Asia-Pacific and African countries differ somewhat, reflecting different exposures to the ongoing war in Ukraine and its economic and political fallout.
Digital and disruptive threats
cyber incidents, such as IT failures, ransomware attacks or data breaches, are the most important risk worldwide for the second year in a row. According to the Allianz Cyber Competence Center, the frequency of exorbitant ransomware attacks will also be significantly higher in 2023, while the average cost of a data breachare the highest ever at $4.35 millionbefore and this year it could surpass the 5 million mark. The conflict in Ukraine and other geopolitical tensions increase the risk of a large-scale cyberattack by state-sponsored actors. Add to that a growing shortage of cybersecurity professionals, which creates additional challenges in improving security.
“For many businesses, the threat of cyber attacks remains greater than ever, and cyber insurance claims remain at high levels. Large organizations are now used to being attacked, and those with a reasonable level of cybersecurity can thwart most attacks. But small and medium-sized companies are also increasingly affected. They tend to underestimate their exposure and should continually invest in strengthening their cyber defences,” he stresses.Shanil Williams, AGCS Board Member and Director of Corporate Underwriting.For companies in many countries, 2023 is likely to be another year of heightened business risks.business interruptions(BU) Because many business models are susceptible to sudden changes, which in turn affect sales and profits.
The range of interference sources is large. Cyber attacks are the most feared cause of enterprise BI (45% of responses), followed by the energy crisis (35%) and natural disasters (31%). Soaring energy costs are forcing energy-intensive industries in particular to use energy more efficiently, move production to alternative locations or even consider temporary closures. The resulting shortage threatens to disrupt supplies to a number of critical industries in Europe, including food, agriculture, chemicals, pharmaceuticals, construction and manufacturing. A global recession is another disruptive scenario in 2023 as rising corporate bankruptcies threaten supplier defaults.Alliance tradeexpects corporate bankruptcies to increase by 19% in 2023.
Macroeconomic developments such as inflation or volatility in economic and financial markets were ranked as the third most important risk facing companies worldwide in 2023 (25% of responses), up from 10th in 2022. It is the first time in a decade that this risk has increased the top 3 up. According to team atAlliance Research, which predicts a recession in Europe and the United States in 2023. Inflation is of particular concern as it eats away at the pricing structure and margins of many companies. Like the real economy, financial markets are in for a difficult year as central banks withdraw excess liquidity and trading volumes decline even in historically liquid markets.
“2023 will be a challenging year; From a purely economic point of view, it will literally be a year to forget for many households and companies. But there's no need to despair," he says.Ludovic Subran, chief economist at Allianz. “On the one hand, the turnaround in interest rates, which ultimately benefits millions of savers, helps. The medium-term prospects are also much better despite or precisely because of the energy crisis. The consequences, beyond the expected recession in 2023, are already becoming apparent: an accelerated shift in the economy towards decarbonisation and increased risk awareness in all parts of society, which strengthens social and economic resilience.”
Risk drivers and engines
dieenergy crisisis the most worrying risk in theAllianz risk barometernew or ranked 4th (22%). Some industries such as chemicals, fertilizers, glass and aluminum may depend on a single energy source (Russian gas in the case of many European countries) and are therefore vulnerable to power outages or price fluctuations. When such core industries struggle, the impact is felt in other sectors further down the value chain. HighAlliance tradeThe energy crisis is the biggest blow to the profitability of European companies. High energy prices would wipe out most industrials' gains as pricing power wanes amid weaker demand.
natural disasters(19%) and theclimate change(17%) still give companies a lot of concern, even if they fall behind in the ranking compared to last year. In a year in which Hurricane Ian, record heat, drought and other natural catastrophes and extreme weather events caused more than $100 billion in insured losses ( Swiss Re) remain among the top seven global business risks.
IsAllianz risk barometeris an annual ranking of the greatest corporate risks that the corporate insurer Allianz Global Corporate & Specialty (AGCS) compiles together with other Allianz companies. This year, it includes the views of 2,712 risk management professionals in 94 countries and territories, including CEOs, risk managers, brokers and underwriters. The survey appears for the 12th time.
Here you can find all materials and graphics:
The global ranking list as well as numerous country rankings areHerecompiled
The complete study and much more information can be found here. Here.
About Allianz Global Corporate & Specialty
Allianz Global Corporate & Specialty (AGCS) is a leading global provider of commercial insurance and a key business unit of the Allianz Group. We offer more than ten special insurances,risk tips,property and casualty insurancejAlternatives Risk transferfor a wide range of corporate, industrial and specialty risks.
Our customers are as diverse as the economy. They range from the top 500 companies in the world by revenue to small businesses and individuals. These include leading consumer goods brands, technology companies and the global aerospace and shipping industries, as well as satellite operators and Hollywood film production companies. In a dynamic and multinational business environment, they expect intelligent answers from AGCS to their largest and most complex risks and trust in our excellent performance in thecase of damage.
AGCS employs around 4,400 people worldwide at its own locations in31 countriesand is represented in more than 200 countries and territories through the Allianz Group network or partners. As one of the largest property and casualty insurance units in the Allianz Group, we have a strong and stable business.financial ratings. In 2020, AGCS generated global gross premiums totaling EUR 9.3 billion.
About the Alliance
The Allianz Group is one of the world's leading insurers and wealth managers and serves more than 122 million* private and corporate customers in more than 70 countries. Allianz insurance customers use a wide range of property, life and health insurance, assistance services and credit insurance through to industrial insurance. Allianz is one of the largest investors in the world and manages an investment portfolio of around EUR 683 billion** on behalf of its insurance customers. In addition, our asset managers PIMCO and Allianz Global Investors manage around €1.6 trillion** for third parties. With our consistent integration of ecological and social criteria in our business processes and investment decisions, we are one of the leading insurers in the Dow Jones Sustainability Index. In 2022, more than 159,000 employees generated sales of 152.7 billion euros for the group and achieved an operating profit of 14.2 billion euros.
*Including unconsolidated entities with Allianz customers.
**As of December 31, 2022
Allianz Global Corporate und Specialized
+49 89 3800 14303
Send an email
Reserve for future statements
As always, these statements are subject to our forward-looking statements:
Learn more at Alliance.com
Filter by year
Rebooting Tourism: Are We Ready to Travel?
As summer 2021 approaches, we take a look at post-pandemic travel trends and how travel behavior has changed. How quickly will the tourism industry recover and support its customers? Allianz Research takes a close look at the recovery path for Europe's accommodation industry...
Allianz Pulse 2021: Unity after the accident?
Despite disagreements on a variety of issues, the European Union came together remarkably well in dealing with the Covid-19 crisis. Has the tragedy changed perceptions of EU solidarity? Allianz feels the pulse in France, Germany and Italy...
World Economic Outlook 2021: Back to business
As the curtain rises on the global economy after a hiatus of more than a year, the question arises: What can we expect in 2021? Allianz Research lists some points to consider...
291 visits in total